Financial crisis will Cost 20 mn jobs

Twenty million people will be rendered jobless by the end of next year as a result of the impact of the financial meltdown on the global economy.

Construction, real estate, financial services, and the auto sector are most likely to be hit, according to the International Labor Organization's (ILO) estimate, which is based on International Monetary Fund projections for the world economy.

It is already clear that people are going to be hit by the financial crisis but all discussions should be focused on resolving the crisis toward job creation and other steps to promote the "real economy".

The ILO does not yet have a regional breakdown of projected job losses, which global unemployment to 210 million in late 2009 from 190 million last year, the first time in a decade it has topped 200 million.

But countries with large domestic markets that do not depend heavily on exports would be able to weather the crisis better, as an example China, where exports make up only 11 percent of the economy.

It was alarming that global unemployment had stayed at the same levels despite the strong economic growth seen between 2002 and 2007.

Resources should be pumped into the economy to stave off or mitigate recession, concentrating on employment-intensive sectors including small enterprises. The financial sector should also be steered back to its fundamental function of lending to entrepreneurs.

Financial sector's share in the profits of U.S. companies had risen to 41 percent last year from five percent in 1980. As a result, banks preferred to invest in financial transactions rather than lending to other productive sectors.

And listed non-financial companies came under pressure to match the returns of the financial sector, forcing them to cut costs often by freezing salaries or laying off staff rather than making long-term investments.

From one point of this view this is called productivity increases. From a more profound point of view it means a worker becomes a commodity.

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